Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.709565 2.856014 3.008871 3.180809 3.369420 3.570700 3.802636
2025-11-02 2.439873 2.646797 2.873411 3.141967 3.454157 3.808935 4.247479
2025-11-09 2.252739 2.488289 2.754277 3.080520 3.475084 3.943951 4.554579
2025-11-16 2.123500 2.378321 2.673011 3.044484 3.508523 4.081077 4.861510
2025-11-23 2.045324 2.319170 2.642699 3.060852 3.599239 4.287938 5.270111
2025-11-30 1.975825 2.263959 2.610657 3.068638 3.674390 4.475200 5.666952
2025-12-07 1.877981 2.167682 2.520789 2.994561 3.633565 4.499204 5.829894
2025-12-14 1.798275 2.089513 2.448687 2.937563 3.609074 4.540060 6.016985
2025-12-21 1.744014 2.040354 2.410285 2.921406 3.637160 4.654541 6.325545
2025-12-28 1.694379 1.994569 2.373462 2.904222 3.660954 4.762270 6.633072
2026-01-04 1.659864 1.966483 2.357963 2.914352 3.722959 4.930269 7.059338
2026-01-11 1.633390 1.947474 2.353116 2.938128 3.805162 5.134711 7.575295
2026-01-18 1.599329 1.918227 2.334546 2.943336 3.862763 5.309938 8.075856
2026-01-25 1.552975 1.871143 2.289969 2.909062 3.858001 5.383125 8.396156
2026-02-01 1.502819 1.817211 2.233786 2.854844 3.818164 5.392863 8.590459
2026-02-08 1.463407 1.776471 2.194259 2.823010 3.811181 5.457513 8.907410
2026-02-15 1.441747 1.759023 2.186374 2.837473 3.878711 5.658284 9.552469
2026-02-22 1.418955 1.739162 2.174122 2.844351 3.933659 5.840894 10.194491
2026-03-01 1.374744 1.688470 2.116264 2.778860 3.863809 5.784899 10.259171
2026-03-08 1.337304 1.646254 2.069328 2.728385 3.816558 5.767941 10.418521
2026-03-15 1.312754 1.621304 2.046397 2.714064 3.829761 5.867822 10.893951
2026-03-22 1.289110 1.596984 2.023572 2.698826 3.840215 5.962816 11.377775
2026-03-29 1.273627 1.583707 2.016359 2.707810 3.893338 6.148214 12.158226